IN MUCH the same way as there must be 50 ways to leave your lover, there must be at least that many ways to win this game.
Obviously, the England-Andorra result tonight isn’t in doubt so there’s one.
And I had to check this twice but while the likes of BoyleSports make the Three Lions 1,000-1 on, William Hill and 888 must’ve priced up the wrong game and are going 1-33 on that outcome at Villa Park.
If the unthinkable did happen, while Thomas Tuchel was on his way to Heathrow Terminal 5, we’d have to think up something else other than “Football’s a funny old game.”
England have never lost to the Pyrenees principality in seven previous encounters and never conceded, scoring 26 times.
Bet Balls
- Bristol Rovers to win 3-1 at Newport today is 14-1 with Betfred
- Ireland v Hungary draw BTTS tonight is 18-5 with BetVictor
- England to beat Andorra 7-0 tonight is 10–1 with Sporting Index
- Germany to beat N Ireland 3-0 tomorrow is 11-2 with William Hill
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So an average a little north of 3-0 per game, trading at a best-priced 6-1 with BoyleSports, bet365 and Sporting Index.
Favourite in the correct-score market is 4-0 at 5-1 with too many firms to mention here.
In their three home games with the 174th world-ranked visitors, England have won 4-0, 5-0 and 6-0. And the latter gets a bit more interesting at 7-1 with Index.
Bear in mind of course, Tuchel’s clearly-had-enough-football side were very poor in the reverse fixture back in June, trudging their way to only a 1-0 win.
And that was the first time the Three Lions had failed to score at least two goals against Andorra.
So yes, they are coming off a historical low. But this time, with a pre-season and a month of the Premier League to get them up to speed, we can expect them to do significantly better than that.
And while Tuchel is without as many as 10 players from the last squad, including Bukayo Saka, Cole Palmer and Jude Bellingham, that puts a lot of players looking to book themselves on the plane to next summer’s World Cup in the picture.
And Coral’s John Hill is predicting a jolly good show on home soil. He said: “I think England’s class should tell this time, and I expect them to run riot in the second half.
“England really should win by five goals or more and they are 10-11 in the -4 goals handicap market. If you’re looking for a correct-score bet, I like England 6-0.”
William Hill’s Lee Phelps was happy to confirm that bonkers price and said: “England are overwhelming favourites at 1-33, while the visitors are a whopping 150-1.
“It’s no surprise to see most of the Three Lions forwards at short odds to score anytime, but England have hardly been free-scoring under Tuchel, netting seven times in four matches so far, all of which were against weaker opposition.
“Just three of those have come in the first half and, with that in mind, under 1.5 first half goals could be worth a go at 13-8, while England to win 2-0 could be the best of the correct score bets at 17-2.”
England to win to nil is a best-priced 2-9 with BetVictor, which doesn’t sound much but is still a 22 per cent return on your money in 90 minutes.
Also of note, no player has scored a hat-trick against Andorra. Marcus Rashford should start and has a reputation to restore, so he may be worth an interest at a stand-out 20-1 with Vbet to get a treble.
Rash, bang, wallop.
Dark horse
7-1: After Thomas Tuchel’s 100 per cent record as England boss went south in June, when his side were beaten 3-1 by Senegal, they will surely put on a show tonight.
And Sky Bet go a boosted 7-1 the home side have 15 shots or more on target.
GOODWINNERS’ ENCLOSURE
LAST WEEK, we were wondering here at BetGoodwin if Spurs might have finally shaken off their Spursy tag. Thankfully we were wrong, they haven’t!
Tottenham losing to the Cherries on Saturday, and the Seagulls swooping late on Sunday to sort out Man City, gave our book an unexpectedly good look!
And what a few days it’s been for Liverpool. What with Dominik Szoboszlai’s whipping, dipping, wonder free-kick to see off Arsenal and then £125million Alexander Isak rocking up to Anfield, they are now into 6-5 favourites to retain their Premier League title. The narrowly beaten Gunners can be had at 15-8.
And having looked pretty clueless in the second half at the Amex, Pep Guardiola’s City have been absolutely friendless in the market, drifting out to 13-2.
Ruben Amorim’s Man Utd are next up for them, and you’d have to say it’s hard to see the title going anywhere near Manchester this season.
Chelsea, Club World Champions let’s not forget, are only fourth in the betting at 15-2. But after a decent start, we fancy them to finish higher than City.
As for this weekend, the big game is England-Andorra tonight. And while the Three Lions currently sit fourth in the FIFA world rankings and Andorra 174th, the reverse fixture was a lot closer than anyone would think.
Thomas Tuchel’s side only scraped a 1-0 win there in June. Even though not all of the big guns are in this England squad, a home win is surely a formality.
There should be plenty of goals in this and we’ve boosted England to win 5-0 to 5-1 and also Harry Kane to score a hat-trick is 7-2. We are also top price on England to win the World Cup next summer, boosting them from 7-1 to 15-2.
Rounding up the international scene, Liverpool are favourites for every competition they enter at the moment – and are currently joint favourites to win the Champions League with us, along with PSG and Barcelona at 6-1.
Those Stamford Bridge boys have strength in depth and could go deep at a lively 12-1
This week’s Nap Acca is also a bit lively at 14-1 and we’re going with Cambridge, Huddersfield, Bolton, Barnet and Bristol Rovers all do the biz.
Top Tips
Pro bet
Huddersfield to beat Peterborough, Lincoln to beat Wigan, Barnet to beat Shrewsbury, Georgia to beat Bulgaria (Sun), Poland to beat Finland. Acca pays 15-1 with William Hill.
Retirement bet
Wimbledon to win at Bolton, Orient to win at Port Vale, Exeter to win at Rotherham, Bradford to win at Doncaster, Mansfield to win at Wycombe, Oldham to win at Cambridge, Grimsby to win at MK Dons, Fleetwood to win at Notts Co. Perm 1 x Acca, 8 x 7-folds, 28 x 6-folds. Acca pays 45,202-1 with Betfred.
Away day
Serbia to win in Latvia, Stockport to win at Plymouth, Gillingham at Bromley, Slovakia in Luxembourg, Acca pays 18-1 with Coral.
Top draw
Barrow v Swindon, Walsall v Chesterfield, Harrogate v Crawley, Cheltenham v Accrington. Acca pays 132-1 with Coral.
TV Special
Bristol Rovers to win at Newport, England to win to nil v Andorra, Rep of Ireland v Hungary draw, Germany to win to nil v N Ireland. Acca pays 10-1 with BetVictor.
TV Previews
Newport v Bristol Rovers
BRISTOL ROVERS did what Manchester United couldn’t last week – they won at Grimsby.
Following relegation from League One last term, the Gas didn’t catch light early on, losing their opening three games.
But they are now unbeaten in four outings – and should take care of hosts and relegation favourites Newport at 10-11 tomorrow.
In-form Ellis Harrison is the first scorer pick at 6-1 with Sky Bet.
FORECAST: 1-3
Germany v N Ireland
GROUP leaders v bottom meet in Cologne tomorrow. And for once it’s Germany on the wrong side of that.
Northern Ireland lead their World Cup qualifying group after winning 3-1 in Luxembourg on Thursday, while the Germans were shocked 2-0 in Slovakia – their third straight defeat.
Despite one competitive defeat in nine, the visitors are in deeper waters here. Home win, Newcastle’s Nick Woltemade to score first at 21-5 with Unibet.
FORECAST: 3-0
Rep of Ireland v Hungary
WITH Portugal also in their World Cup qualifying group, Ireland’s opener against Hungary tonight looks like a must-win game.
The good news for Ireland is they beat the visitors in a friendly last June.
Bad news? The Magyars haven’t lost in their last 11 major tournament qualifiers.
Draw is the call. After last weekend’s wonder goal, Liverpool’s Dominik Szoboszlai is taken at 9-2 with Paddy Power to score anytime.
FORECAST: 1-1
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